by ResurrectionRooney Fri Jul 17, 2015 7:20 pm
FCB wrote: ResurrectionRooney wrote:Of course they could if they have them, why would you create nuclear weapons if there were no possibility of you ever actually using them? An even playing field is in this case far more dangerous because both are incentivised to make a first strike and try to take out the enemy facilities this is basic game theory.
Israel takes their security seriously, Gaza investigations would hamper that which is why the terrorists and their sympathisers want to investigate. If you're constantly in an existential war then sometimes people get hurt. As for those organisations being out to get the jews, it's not like it would be the first time anti-semitism has taken hold of international organisations would it?
That's not how it works. It doesn't matter who makes the first launch. There will be an exchange of fire either way. Striking first doesn't eliminate the enemy right away unless the entire nation's nuclear arsenal is located at ground zero. Yes, there is always an opportunity to use a nuclear weapon if you have one, especially if this particular nation has a history of using excessive force like Israel. However, given that both nations know the outcome of using a nuclear weapon, they would be less likely to use it if they both possess them. If Israel were to nuke Iran right now, they would not receive any immediate retaliation of the same scale unless the US and the West is willing to nuke Israel for its crime. There's a reason that no nuclear attacks have happened since the US used it. By your logic, there should have been more attacks with the increase of possession of nukes by different nations. The Soviet Union/Russia and the USA are enemies. Pakistan and India are enemies. They all possess nuclear weapons.
They don't want any investigations because they know they will be exposed for their heinous behaviors. Though I doubt anything will be done about it even if those investigations yield credible evidence.
You're telling me it doesn't work that way? Who the fuck do you think you are, seriously? I majored in my degree on this subject, I know quite a lot more about it than you so please drop the condescending shit.
First strikes are a thing, especially with a country so small as Israel. If all the weapons are ground based then you can take out the launch sites, but you don't need to take out all of them. The idea of a first strike is to reduce the enemy's military capability to a point where there isn't a counter attack or the counter attack is survivable, thus changing mutually assured destruction to you suffering a bloody nose while the enemy is completely destroyed. Decapitating the leadership also has the impact of putting the decision in the hands of silo commanders - maybe they won't want the deaths of 100s of thousands of innocent people on their conscience, maybe they will be concerned about what happens to them after the war and shit out of pressing the button, maybe they won't have the launch codes, maybe they'll put it down to a communications or sensor error - this happened several times during the Cold War.
Destruction is not ensured if you do a first strike. It is if you wait for the enemy to do it, which is why it's very tempting to do it.
You're right, there should have been more attacks, we have been extremely lucky that there weren't. Using that as a jumping off point to giving every country nukes under the impression they make things safer is straight up window licking retarded though. Any overzealous commander, any radar error, any instance of posturing that goes too far, boom, nuclear war is ignited, and the dynamics of it are such that it will demand a catastrophic response. What you are suggesting is the equivalent to the nuts who suggest that we give all kids in schools weaponry to defend against school shooters.
And yes, some abuses would undoubtedly be uncovered - as they would be with any country in history who has ever engaged in a war if it were investigated. You're right, they probably don't want it exposed, because the terrorists would use it as propaganda to pursue their war against them. Any country would try to suppress information that will lead to more of its citizens being terrorised and killed, it's crazy that you'd expect anything else.